The residential real estate market is facing an affordability crisis that is not simply the result of temporary interest rate hikes, according to Joseph Bograd, a team leader at Bograd Team ...
Buffalo, New York's Housing Market Is Still Competitive – And Shows No Signs of Slowing




Nearly a decade after Buffalo began appearing on national “hottest markets” lists, the Western New York housing market continues to show remarkable resilience. Homes are still attracting multiple offers, prices frequently sell above asking, and buyers from New York City and across the Canadian border continue to seek out the affordability that has largely disappeared in their home markets.
Jessica Laurendi, a licensed real estate salesperson with Howard Hanna Real Estate Services who has worked throughout Western New York since 2014, sees the market up close every day. For agents like Laurendi working directly with buyers and sellers, the story is more nuanced than the headlines suggest, but demand remains strong and many properties continue to sell quickly and above list price throughout the region.
Still a Seller’s Market
The competitive conditions that defined Buffalo’s housing market during the pandemic have not softened. A recent listing in Niagara County illustrates that point. Priced at $299,900, the property attracted 11 offers and went under contract at $375,000 – a premium of roughly 25 percent over asking. That kind of outcome, while striking, is not unusual in this market.
The $300,000 price range represents the approximate average sale price across the area, but competition extends well beyond that price point. Homes in the $600,000 price range can attract multiple offers when priced and marketed appropriately. Inventory has increased modestly from the extreme lows of recent years, making it somewhat easier to get buyers under contract. However, demand continues to outpace available inventory, sellers remain in a strong position, and there is little evidence of widespread price softening.
Why Pricing Strategy Matters
The counterintuitive logic is that a well-priced listing generates competitive offers that drive the final sale price higher. In contrast, an overpriced listing often sits on the market, accumulates days on market, and ultimately sells for less. Laurendi notes that many of the recent comparable sales sellers point to as evidence of value actually achieved those prices after being strategically listed below their final sale price.
For example, a neighboring home that sold for $300,000 may have originally been listed at $250,000 or $275,000, creating the competition and multiple-offer environment that ultimately pushed the sale price to $300,000 or more. Buyers often view the list price as the starting point for negotiations. When a home is priced too high from the outset, many buyers assume they will have to pay even more and choose not to pursue it, reducing competition and limiting the seller’s ability to maximize their final sale price.
Those conversations are often complicated by automated valuation tools such as Zillow’s Zestimate. Laurendi notes that many sellers place significant weight on those estimates, despite their frequent inaccuracies and inability to account for a property’s condition, updates, location nuances, or current buyer demand. As a result, sellers who rely solely on automated valuations can enter the market with unrealistic pricing expectations.
Despite occasional pricing challenges, Laurendi says she has yet to encounter a property that would not sell when priced appropriately for its condition and market. Working across a broad geographic area throughout Western New York, she has observed consistent demand across a variety of communities and price points. While the pace and level of competition may vary from one market segment to another, well-priced homes continue to attract buyers, reinforcing the strength and resilience of the region’s housing market.
What Actually Kills Deals
In a market where demand is strong and motivated buyers are plentiful, the deals that fall apart tend to do so for reasons unrelated to buyer interest. Property condition and financing are the two most common culprits.
When buyers are purchasing with a mortgage, lenders require the property to meet basic health and safety guidelines. Aging roofs, fuse-based electrical systems, and structural issues can all create financing obstacles that derail transactions even when both parties want to close. A home with fuses rather than circuit breakers, for example, often cannot secure homeowners’ insurance, which in turn blocks bank financing.
Beyond condition, life circumstances intervene. Job losses, income changes, and unexpected events can remove a buyer from a transaction at any stage. Laurendi recalls a deal during the pandemic in which a buyer had been receiving supplemental pandemic pay that temporarily inflated their qualifying income. By the time the lender verified income at closing, the additional pay had ended, and the deal collapsed.
Then there are the genuinely unpredictable events. One transaction she managed was nearly derailed when a driver left the road, crashed into the seller’s garage, and fled. The deal eventually closed, but the process was significantly complicated by the bank’s reluctance to finance a property that has a garage with structural damage.
Where Investors Find Opportunity
Western New York has attracted significant investor interest in recent years. Laurendi has worked with investors acquiring, renovating, and reselling properties throughout the region, from Buffalo neighborhoods to Niagara Falls and surrounding suburban communities. While market conditions have evolved, she notes that successful investors remain focused on purchasing properties at the right price and understanding their resale potential before acquiring them.
For investors evaluating the market today, Laurendi’s guidance is straightforward: the numbers must work from the beginning. Properties purchased at the right price point have continued to perform well, whether held as rentals, renovated and resold, or refinanced after improvements.
One practical consideration is buyer demand at resale. While two-bedroom homes can certainly sell successfully, three-bedroom homes generally appeal to a broader range of buyers, particularly families who need additional living space. That larger buyer pool can make resale easier and increase competition when the property returns to the market.
Canadian buyers continue to represent a source of demand in portions of Western New York, particularly for investment opportunities. Compared with many Canadian markets, housing in Western New York remains relatively affordable, making cross-border purchases attractive for some investors and contributing to the region’s ongoing market activity.
The Case for Grand Island
Within the broader Western New York market, Grand Island occupies a distinctive position. Located in the Niagara River between Buffalo and Niagara Falls, the community attracts buyers seeking a balance between convenience and a quieter lifestyle. Residents enjoy easy access to both urban centers while benefiting from a strong sense of community, abundant green space, waterfront recreation, boating, fishing, and scenic river views. The island’s blend of suburban amenities and natural beauty continues to make it a desirable destination for a wide range of buyers.
Property taxes are a common concern among buyers considering Western New York. Laurendi notes that Grand Island’s tax rates are generally comparable to those of many surrounding communities. Waterfront properties may carry higher assessments, but that reflects the premium buyers are willing to pay for direct water access and views rather than a significant difference in tax rates themselves.
Emerging Pockets, Stable Outlook
Some areas that were overlooked a decade ago are now attracting significant buyer interest, demonstrating how demand has expanded throughout the region. Niagara Falls is a notable example. Once considered a secondary market compared to many Buffalo suburbs, it has become increasingly competitive as buyers search for affordability and value.
Today, well-priced homes in Niagara Falls often attract the same level of attention and competition seen throughout much of Western New York.
About the Expert: Jessica Laurendi is a licensed real estate salesperson with Howard Hanna Real Estate Services, working across Western New York since 2014 with experience spanning institutional investor transactions, first-time homebuyer deals, and the region’s varied submarkets.
This article is based on information provided by the expert source cited above. It is intended for general informational purposes only and does not constitute legal, financial, or real estate advice. Readers should conduct their own research and consult qualified professionals before making any real estate or financial decisions.
This article was sourced from a live expert interview.
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